Speaker
Description
Scenario analysis lets us explore ‘what-if’ futures for climate change, linking today’s decisions to long-term impacts. Systematic comparison of scenarios for transport – a key sector for emission reductions – can inform decision-making in policy and investments. Decarbonization of passenger and freight transport depends on mode shifts and the adoption of low-carbon technologies like electric vehicles (EVs). The model edgeTransport is a representation of the global transport sector with high technological and modal detail and allowing for these kinds of analyses. edgeTransport - combining R packages mrtransport, edgeTransport edgeTransport and reporttransport - is open-source with closed data dependencies for parameter calibration. Coupling edgeTransport to the global energy-economy-climate model REMIND further adds an integrated systems perspective. REMIND is one of the leading integrated assessment models regularly informing global climate policy making, for example by contributing to reports from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). For these contributions, REMIND relies on the sectoral detail provided by edgeTransport. Coupling the models enables both, high detail and a full systems perspective. This revealins cross-sectoral effects and important correlations, for example how reducing grid carbon intensity is integral to EV-based decarbonization strategies.
In this talk, I will introduce the model ecosystem and its main features and limitations, illustrate analysis and development workflows, show how to get involved and demonstrate three scenarios: our ‘business as usual’ baseline scenario (current policies) and two higher-ambition sustainability scenarios.
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Perplexity: for wording, refining formulations
Additional Material or Paper
Rottoli, M., Dirnaichner, A., Kyle, P. et al. Coupling a Detailed Transport Model to the Integrated Assessment Model REMIND. Environ Model Assess 26, 891–909 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10666-021-09760-y
| Keywords: Please list up to 5 keywords to help us find the right session for your contribution. | climate, research software engineering, transport, decision model |
|---|---|
| Virtual Option | This submission is for onsite presentation only |
| Video Recording | Video sharing is fine |
| The author(s) agree(s) to take responsibility and be accountable for the contents of the submission and is/are authorized to present it. | Confirm |